Updated bi-MONTHLY

CLIMATE IMPACT PREDICTIONS
Long-range climate outlooks for southern Africa since 1991
Prof Mark R Jury


A strong La Nina has developed in the Pacific, so conditions favour above normal rainfall across Southern Africa. The Atlantic west of Angola has a weak signal, but the Indian Ocean east of Tanzania, shows reduced convection which supports above normal rainfall over Southern Africa in the December to March season. The main regions expected to receive above average rainfall are Namibia, Botswana, and South Africa excluding the Limpopo area. Zimbabwe may only receive normal rains. Temperatures over the Kalahari are expected to be below normal, so evaporation will be reduced there, favouring crop production across the maize belt and in western (grazing) areas.

OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE
The ECMWF seasonal forecast site is:
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/seasonal/forecast/charts/groupp/seasonal_charts_public_2tm/


This prediction service is offered free-of-charge.

NO LIABILITY ACCEPTED

(Issued at : Tue Nov 2 18:26 2010 )


CIP
TEL : -
EMAIL : jury@uprm.edu
[Prof Mark Jury.]

© 1995-2006 Mark Jury